Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.183718 0.218102 0.256660 0.303032 0.357219 0.418464 0.492864
2025-06-01 0.133786 0.178111 0.233272 0.306671 0.401456 0.519380 0.676836
2025-06-08 0.100868 0.146493 0.207912 0.296042 0.418565 0.582068 0.815838
2025-06-15 0.084377 0.131616 0.199416 0.302839 0.455399 0.670680 0.995599
2025-06-22 0.071014 0.118006 0.189375 0.304228 0.482610 0.746770 1.164429
2025-06-29 0.059507 0.104805 0.177250 0.299656 0.498833 0.806850 1.314516
2025-07-06 0.050508 0.093890 0.166671 0.295275 0.513644 0.864918 1.466078
2025-07-13 0.045981 0.089723 0.166315 0.307165 0.555526 0.969176 1.700870
2025-07-20 0.043681 0.089090 0.171755 0.329360 0.616875 1.110900 2.010956
2025-07-27 0.040455 0.086140 0.172504 0.343005 0.664383 1.233330 2.299525
2025-08-03 0.035851 0.079711 0.165814 0.341816 0.684509 1.309375 2.513366
2025-08-10 0.030717 0.071335 0.154151 0.329419 0.681883 1.343654 2.654256
2025-08-17 0.025703 0.062598 0.140988 0.313254 0.671967 1.366992 2.784545
2025-08-24 0.023135 0.058872 0.137739 0.317142 0.702787 1.471674 3.082246
2025-08-31 0.019776 0.052675 0.128187 0.306181 0.701501 1.513069 3.259896
2025-09-07 0.018159 0.050374 0.126942 0.313197 0.738938 1.635692 3.612346
2025-09-14 0.016378 0.047324 0.123481 0.314631 0.764203 1.735480 3.927189
2025-09-21 0.014472 0.043576 0.117760 0.309912 0.774924 1.805306 4.185252
2025-09-28 0.012825 0.040210 0.112450 0.305390 0.785422 1.875440 4.450424
2025-10-05 0.012159 0.039498 0.113812 0.317663 0.837185 2.042129 4.944445
2025-10-12 0.011991 0.040220 0.119058 0.340570 0.917402 2.280836 5.622307
2025-10-19 0.011446 0.039699 0.120858 0.354652 0.977211 2.477811 6.221760
2025-10-26 0.010376 0.037329 0.117160 0.353426 0.997930 2.584528 6.619846